nasdaq markets

 Index Value Change Net / % Market Status
NASDAQ Composite Index 3000.39 5.23  -0.17% Open
NASDAQ-100 Index 2677.92 0.40  -0.01% Open
American Stock Exchange Composite Index 2411.70 3.17  0.13% Open
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index 13252.07 91.44  -0.69% Open
Standard and Poor's 500 Index 1423.53 9.66  -0.67% Open
New York Stock Exchange Composite Index 8281.94 42.21  -0.51% Open
30 year Treasury Bond Index 29.47 0.10  0.34% Open
13 Week T-Bill Index 0.90 unch unch Open
CBOE Gold Index 206.78 0.23  0.11% Open

2nd UPDATE: Ally Financial Close to Selling Canadian Operations to RBC - CNBC

2nd UPDATE: Dominion Resources to Shut Down Nuclear Reactor

Ford Sees 2013 Brazil Auto Sales 'A Little Better'

UPDATE: Ally Financial Close to Selling Canadian Operations to RBC - CNBC

Franklin Electric Schedules Its Third Quarter 2012 Earnings Release and Conference Call

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US COFFEE CFD

US COFFEE CFD close higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidates some of this month's decline. The midrange close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible nearterm. If it extends this month's decline, September's low crossing is the next downside target.

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head and shoulder pattern

 head and shoulders trading pattern

The head and shoulders pattern is generally regarded as a reversal pattern and it is most often seen in uptrends. It is also most reliable when found in an uptrend as well. Eventually, the market begins to slow down and the forces of supply and demand are generally considered in balance.  Sellers come in at the highs (left shoulder) and the downside is probed (beginning neckline.)  Buyers soon return to the market and ultimately push through to new highs (head.) However, the new highs are quickly turned back and the downside is tested again (continuing neckline.)  Tentative buying re-emerges and the market rallies once more, but fails to take out the previous high. (This last top is considered the right shoulder.)  Buying dries up and the market tests the downside yet again. Your trendline for this pattern should be drawn from the beginning neckline to the continuing neckline.  (Volume has a greater importance in the head and shoulders pattern in comparison to other patterns.  Volume generally follows the price higher on the left shoulder. However, the head is formed on diminished volume indicating the buyers aren't as aggressive as they once were.  And on the last rallying attempt-the left shoulder-volume is even lighter than on the head, signaling that the buyers may have exhausted themselves.)  New selling comes in and previous buyers get out.  The pattern is complete when the market breaks the neckline.  (Volume should increase on the breakout.)

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Today's Tips

Yen to Slip on Futile Resistance, BofA Says: Technical Analysis

Bloomberg

The yen is poised to weaken against the dollar after having breached a trend-line resistance level, according to Bank of America Corp. “The evidence points to a move higher,” MacNeil Curry, head of foreign-exchange and interest-ratestechnical strategy ...

Technical Analysis for Major Currencies

Action Forex

We also have three positive signs on technical indicators as Ribbons lines-EMA 10 to 80- are carrying the recent upside wave while AROON and MACD turned bullish but RSI 14 may cause a huge fluctuation. From here, we will be bullish over upcoming ...

Daily Technical Analysis

Action Forex

The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday. There are no changes in my technicaloutlook. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 79.00 key intraday resistance which need to be broken to the upside to continue the bullish scenario testing 80.00/50 area.

Dollar May Advance to 8-Week High Versus Yen: Technical Analysis

Bloomberg

In technical analysis, investors and analysts study charts of trading patterns to forecast changes in a security, commodity, currency or index. To contact the reporters on this story: Masaki Kondo in Singapore at mkondo3@bloomberg.net; Kazumi Miura in ...

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Triangle Pattern

Symmetrical triangle 

The symmetrical triangle is mainly considered to be a continuation pattern that signals a period of consolidation in a trend followed by a resumption of the prior trend. It is formed by the convergence of a descending resistance line and an ascending support line. The two trendlines in the formation of this triangle should have a similar slope converging at a point known as the apex. The price of the security will bounce between these trendlines, towards the apex, and typically breakout in the direction of the prior trend.

If preceded by a downward trend, the focus should be on a break below the ascending support line. If preceded by an upward trend, look for a break above the descending resistance line. However, this pattern doesn't always lead to a continuation of the previous trend. A break in the opposite direction of the prior trend should signal the formation of a new trend.



Symmetrical Triangle Definition

A symmetrical triangle is the most common triangle chart pattern. It is comprised of price fluctuations where each swing high or swing low is smaller than its predecessor. This coiling price movement creates a structure of a symmetrical triangle. As a symmetrical triangle is forming, trading activity diminishes along the way until the apex of the triangle is reached. Many technicians believe that if a stock is rallying prior to a symmetrical triangle, the stock will eventually breakout to the upside. Conversely if a stock is falling prior to a symmetrical triangle forming, the stock should continue lower. Both of these assumptions are wrong. Symmetrical triangles provide little, if any indication as to which direction the stock will ultimately breakout. Remember from the above definition, there is a lack of volume and price movement which creates a coiling pattern, therefore it is simply impossible to assess which way a symmetrical triangle will inevitably breakout.

Double Bottom

Double Bottom Pattern      

This is the opposite chart pattern of the double top as it signals a reversal of the downtrend into an uptrend. This pattern will closely resemble the shape of a "W".
The Double Bottom Reversal is a bullish reversal pattern typically found on bar charts, line charts and candlestick charts. As its name implies, the pattern is made up of two consecutive toughs that are roughly equal, with a moderate peak in-between. Note that a Double Bottom Reversal on a bar or line chart is completely different from Double Bottom Breakdown on a P&F chart. Namely, Double Bottom Breakdowns on P&F charts are bearish patterns that mark a downside support break.

The double bottom is formed when a downtrend sets a new low in the price movement. This downward move will find support, which prevents the security from moving lower. Upon finding support, the security will rally to a new high, which forms the security's resistance point. The next stage of this pattern is another sell-off that takes the security down to the previous low. These two support tests form the two bottoms in the chart pattern. But again, the security finds support and heads back up. The pattern is confirmed when the price moves above the resistance the security faced on the prior move up.

Remember that the security needs to break through the support line to signal a reversal in the downward trend and should be done on higher volume. As in the double top, do not be surprised if the price returns to the breakout point to test the new support level in the upward trend.

Er jeevika Mehra
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Double Top

Double Top Formation

we generally use this pattern for short sale

The double-top pattern is found at the peaks of an upward trend and is a clear signal that the preceding upward trend is weakening and that buyers are losing interest. Upon completion of this pattern, the trend is considered to be reversed and the security is expected to move lower.

The first stage of this pattern is the creation of a new high during the upward trend, which, after peaking, faces resistance and sells off to a level of support. The next stage of this pattern will see the price start to move back towards the level of resistance found in the previous run-up, which again sells off back to the support level. The pattern is completed when the security falls below (or breaks down) the support level that had backstopped each move the security made, thus marking the beginnings of a downward trend.

It's important to note that the price does not need to touch the level of resistance but should be close to the prior peak. Also, when using this chart pattern one should wait for the price to break below the key level of support before entering. Trading before the signal is formed can yield disastrous results, as the pattern is only setting up the possibility for the trend reversal and could trade within this banded range for some time without falling through.

This pattern is a clear illustration of a battle between buyers and sellers. The buyers are attempting to push the security but are facing resistance, which prevents the continuation of the upward trend. After this goes on a couple of times, the buyers in the market start to give up or dry up, and the sellers start to take a stranglehold of the security, sending it down into a new downtrend.

Again, volume should be an important focus as one should look for an increase in volume when the security falls below the support level. Also, as in other chart patterns, do not be alarmed if there is a return to the previous support level that has now become a resistance level in the newly established trend.

Er Jeevika Mehra
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Channel Line Pattern

Channel Line

Price Channel is a price movement that is bound by an upper and lower trend line. The upper trend line marks resistance and the lower trend line marks support. Price channels with negative slopes are considered bearish and those with positive slopes bullish.

Basic pattern can also be used together with Price Channel of Elliot Wave Theory. Inspired by the Dow Theory and by observations found throughout nature, which the Elliott Wave Theory identifies a repetitive pattern of five waves in the direction of the main trend followed by three corrective waves. These waves are used to predict movement of the stock market. Ralph Nelson Elliott used Price Channels as a method of arriving at price objectives and to help confirm the completion of wave counts: Price Channel Technical Indicator.

Price Channel

In a bullish price channel, some traders look to buy when prices reach main trend line support. Conversely, some traders look to sell (or short) when prices reach main trend line resistance in a bearish price channel. As with most price patterns, other aspects of technical analysis should be used to confirm signals.

Main Trend line: It takes at least two points to draw the main trend line. This line sets the tone for the trend and the slope. For a bullish price channel, the main trend line extends up and at least two reaction lows are required to draw it. For a bearish price channel, the main trend line extends down and at least two reaction highs are required to draw it.

pa: The line drawn parallel to the main trend line is called the channel line. Ideally, the channel line will be based off of two reaction highs or lows. However, after the main trend line has been established, some analysts draw the parallel channel line using only one reaction high or low. The channel line marks support in a bearish price channel and resistance in a bullish price channel.


Er Jeevika Mehra
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Trendlines-Resistance

What is Resistance

Resistance is the price level at which selling is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from rising further. The logic dictates that as the price advances towards resistance, sellers become more inclined to sell and buyers become less inclined to buy. By the time the price reaches the resistance level, it is believed that supply will overcome demand and prevent the price from rising above resistance.



When price makes a new High and then retreats, sellers who missed the previous peak will be inclined to sell when price returns to that level. Afraid of missing out a second time, they may enter the market in numbers sufficient to overwhelm buyers. The resulting correction will reinforce market perceptions that price is unlikely to move higher and establish a resistance level.

After a resistance level is penetrated, it often becomes a support level; this is because buyers who didn't buy at that price before it went up are now willing to buy at that price.


The concept of SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE is essential to understanding and interpreting the markets. Just as a ball bounces when it hits the floor or drops after being thrown to the ceiling, support and resistance define natural boundaries for rising and falling prices.

Buyers and sellers are constantly in battle mode. Support defines that level where buyers are strong enough to keep price from falling further. Resistance defines that level where sellers are too strong to allow price to rise further. Support and resistance play different roles in uptrends and downtrends. In an uptrend, support is where a pullback from a rally should end. In a downtrend, resistance is where a pullback from a decline should end.

Support and resistance are created because price has memory. Those prices where significant buyers or sellers entered the market in the past will tend to generate a similar mix of participants when price again returns to that level.

When price pushes above resistance, it becomes a new support level. When price falls below support, that level becomes resistance. When a level of support or resistance is penetrated, price tends to thrust forward sharply as the crowd notices the BREAKOUT and jumps in to buy or sell. When a level is penetrated but does not attract a crowd of buyers or sellers, it often falls back below the old support or resistance. This failure is known as a FALSE BREAKOUT.

Support and resistance come in all varieties and strengths. They most often manifest as horizontal price levels. The length of time that a support or resistance level exists determines the strength or weakness of that level. The strength or weakness determines how much buying or selling interest will be required to break the level. Also, the greater volume traded at any level, the stronger that level will be.

Support and resistance exist in all time frames and all markets. Levels in longer time frames are stronger than those in shorter time frames.


Er Jeevika Mehra
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TrendLines - Support

Support Lines

A trendline is a simple charting technique that adds a line to a chart to represent the trend in the market or a stock. Drawing a trendline is as simple as drawing a straight line that follows a general trend. These lines are used to clearly show the trend and are also used in the identification of trend reversals.

What Is Support

Support is the price level at which demand is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from declining further. The logic dictates that as the price declines towards support and gets cheaper, buyers become more inclined to buy and sellers become less inclined to sell. By the time the price reaches the support level, it is believed that demand will overcome supply and prevent the price from falling below support.



Support does not always hold and a break below support signals that the bears have won out over the bulls. A decline below support indicates a new willingness to sell and/or a lack of incentive to buy. Support breaks and new lows signal that sellers have reduced their expectations and are willing sell at even lower prices. In addition, buyers could not be coerced into buying until prices declined below support or below the previous low. Once support is broken, another support level will have to be established at a lower level.

Where Is Support Established

Support levels are usually below the current price, but it is not uncommon for a security to trade at or near support. Technical analysis is not an exact science and it is sometimes difficult to set exact support levels. In addition, price movements can be volatile and dip below support briefly. Sometimes it does not seem logical to consider a support level broken if the price closes 1/8 below the established support level. For this reason, some traders and investors establish support zones.


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Technical Analysis Trends

Types Of  Trend Analysis

Types of Trend 

There are three types of trend:

• Uptrends
• Downtrends
• Sideways/Horizontal Trends

 As the names imply, when each successive peak and trough is higher, it's referred to as an upward trend. If the peaks and troughs are getting lower, it's a downtrend. When there is little movement up or down in the peaks and troughs, it's a sideways or horizontal trend. If you want to get really technical, you might even say that a sideways trend is actually not a trend on its own, but a lack of a well-defined trend in either direction. In any case, the market can really only trend in these three ways: up, down or nowhere. (For more insight, see Peak-And-Trough Analysis.)

Trend Lengths 
Along with these three trend directions, there are three trend classifications. A trend of any direction can be classified as a long-term trend, intermediate trend or a short-term trend. In terms of the stock market, a major trend is generally categorized as one lasting longer than a year. An intermediate trend is considered to last between one and three months and a near-term trend is anything less than a month. A long-term trend is composed of several intermediate trends, which often move against the direction of the major trend. If the major trend is upward and there is a downward correction in price movement followed by a continuation of the uptrend, the correction is considered to be an intermediate trend. The short-term trends are components of both major and intermediate trends. Take a look a Figure 4 to get a sense of how these three trend lengths might look.

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Technical Analysis Education

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Technical Analysis - Introduction

The methods used to analyze securities and make investment decisions fall into two very broad categories: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis involves analyzing the characteristics of a company in order to estimate its value. Technical analysis takes a completely different approach; it doesn't care one bit about the "value" of a company or a commodity. Technicians (sometimes called chartists) are only interested in the price movements in the market.

Despite all the fancy and exotic tools it employs, technical analysis really just studies supply and demand in a market in an attempt to determine what direction, or trend, will continue in the future. In other words, technical analysis attempts to understand the emotions in the market by studying the market itself, as opposed to its components. If you understand the benefits and limitations of technical analysis, it can give you a new set of tools or skills that will enable you to be a better trader or investor.

Technical analysis can be defined as a method that attempts to forecast future price trends by the means of analyzing market action. It was established as early as 18th century. However, most of its methods as we know them today were created in the first decades of 20th century. The core idea of technical analysis is that history tends to repeat itself. That is why we can find certain situations in the market that occur regularly. These situations can be discovered by chart analysis and technical indicators, which we can use for our advantage – and that is precisely what technical analysis is trying to do.

There are several approaches to technical analysis – such as the Dow theory, Elliot wave theory, Fibonacci's analysis, cyclical analysis and so on. However, the most commonly used methods can be divided into two major branches – namely chart analysis (also called charting) and statistical approach. With chart analysis, the analyst is trying to find patterns that price creates in the chart and that occur repeatedly. For example, head and shoulders or double bottoms are considered typical chart patterns. As soon as the analyst identifies such a pattern, he can make a trade based on the direction the price should follow based on the type of the pattern.

Another branch of technical analysis is constituted by the statistical techniques, which comprise mostly the study and use of various technical indicators. These indicators are computed from historical market data and are mostly used for forecasting trend reversals or changes in strength of the trend. Many of the indicators yield precise buy and sell signals. There are several kinds of indicators – from the very simple ones like moving averages to the very complicated such as Swing index, for which the mathematical formula is several lines long. Yet, the major drawback of using technical indicators is that they provide too many trading signals that are often contradicting each other. It is so because different indicators work best in different kind of market (or phase of the trend). In the following articles, explaining various technical indicators will be our primary concern.



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NASDAQ

National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations

History of the NASDAQ :

The NASDAQ was developed in 1971 as the first electronic stock exchange in the world. It was created as a means to increase the trading of Over-the-Counter stocks, those that were unable to meet listing requirements for larger exchanges. 2,500 OTC stocks were traded on the NASDAQ's first trading day, February 8, 1971.
The division between the NASDAQ National Market and the NASDAQ Small-Cap Market developed from 1982 to 1986, as the larger companies separated themselves from the smaller ones. It was in the 1990's that the NASDAQ began to be seen as a competitor of the NYSE, and in 1994 the NASDAQ beat the NYSE in annual shares traded. In 1998, the NASDAQ merged with the American Stock Exchange, which mostly traded options and derivatives, creating the NASDAQ-AMEX Market Group. The combined company still operates as two separate exchanges, but is better able to compete with the NYSE.

NASDAQ

The NASDAQ, an acronym for National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations, is an electronic stock exchange with 3,300 company listings. It currently has a greater trading volume than any other U.S. exchange, making approximately 1.8 billion trades per day. The NYSE is still considered the biggest exchange because its market capitalisation far exceeds that of the NASDAQ. The NASDAQ trades shares in a variety of companies, but is well known for being a high-tech exchange, trading many new, high growth, and volatile stocks. This is partially due to the fact that the listing fees on the NASDAQ are significantly lower than those for the NYSE, with the maximum price only $150,000. The NASDAQ is a publicly owned company, trading its shares on its own exchange under the ticker symbol NDAQ.
The NASDAQ, as an electronic exchange, has no physical trading floor, but makes all its trades through a computer and telecommunications system. The exchange is a dealers' market, meaning brokers buy and sell stocks through a market maker rather than from each other. A market maker deals in a particular stock and holds a certain number of stocks on his own books so that when a broker wants to purchase shares, he can purchase them directly from the market maker.

Since there is no trading floor where the NASDAQ operates, the stock exchange built the NASDAQ MarketSite in New York's Times Square to create a physical presence. The tower has a large outdoor electronic display, giving current financial information 24 hours a day. The company also has a studio here where it broadcasts financial market updates.

For a stock to be listed on the NASDAQ National Market, the company must meet certain strict financial criteria. For example, they must maintain a stock price of at least $1, and the total value of outstanding stocks must be at least $1.1 million. However the NASDAQ also has a market for smaller companies unable to meet these and other requirements, called the NASDAQ Small Caps Market. NASDAQ will move companies from one market to the other as their eligibility changes.



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The ability to make commodity price forecasts is only the first step in the price decision making process. The second, and often more difficult step, is market timing. Since commodity futures markets are so highly leveraged ( initial margin requirements are generally less than 10% of a contract's value), minor price moves can have a dramatic impact on trading performance. Therefore, the precise timing of entry and exit points is an indispensable aspect of any market commitment. Timing is everything when dealing in the commodities markets, and timing is almost purely technical in nature. This is where a practical application of charting principles becomes absolutely essential in the price forecasting and risk management process.

There are three basic assumptions on which technical analysis is based:

1. The futures market discounts everything.
The technician believes that the price posted on the board of a commodity exchange at any given time is the intrinsic value of the commodity based upon the fundamental factors affecting the supply and demand of the product. Therefore, if the fundamentals are already reflected in the price, market action (charts- price, volume, open interest) is all that is needed to be studied to forecast future price direction. Although not knowing the specifics of the fundamental news, the technician indirectly studies the fundamentals by studying the charts which reflect the fundamentals of the marketplace.

2. Prices move in trends
Prices can move in one of three directions, up, down or sideways. Once a trend in any of these directions is in effect it usually will persist. The market trend is simply the direction of market prices, a concept which is absolutely essential to the success of technical analysis. Identifying trends is quite simple; a price chart will usually indicate the prevailing trend as characterized by a series of waves with obvious peaks and troughs. It is the direction of these peaks and troughs that constitutes the market trend.

3. History repeats itself
Technical analysis includes the psychology of the market place. Patterns of human behavior have been identified and categorized for several hundred years and are repetitive in nature. The repetitive nature of the marketplace is illustrated by specific chart patterns which will indicate a continuation of or change in trend.



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